Politico Effectively Admits that Governor Palin Would Have Won Re-Election Handily Had She Decided to Run for Re-election

The following is from Politico:Democrats were unlikely to take the Alaska governor?s mansion with Palin in the race. They?re almost as unlikely to take over now that she?s vacated it, elevating her former lieutenant governor, Sean Parnell, to the state?s top job. So what Politico is conceding here is that Democrats were more unlikely to win the governor's race if Palin had decided to run for re-election than they are right now with Governor Parnell in the race. Since Nate Silver gives Sean Parnell a 98.1% chance of winning, Politico is effectively conceding Governor Palin would have won handily had she run for re-election. Polling data confirms what Politico effectively conceded here. To be fair, not too many people have really claimed otherwise (except for this guy) but it's Labor Day.

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